
Episode 348
In this Episode of the Secure Your Retirement Podcast, Radon and Murs discuss a comprehensive market update 2025 recap and how lessons from last year can help investors confidently plan for retirement as we move into 2026. They reflect on policy changes, inflation trends, interest rate shifts, and how thoughtful portfolio risk management and managing market volatility can turn uncertainty into opportunity—especially for those focused on retiring comfortably and achieving true peace of mind.
Listen in to learn about how disciplined retirement investment strategies, including diversification, the three bucket strategy, and proactive tax planning, help create a resilient retirement portfolio. Radon and Murs break down how peace of mind investing isn’t about chasing returns, but about building systems that support income, growth, and stability—no matter what the markets bring—so you can confidently secure your retirement.
In this episode, find out:
- How the Market update 2025 sets the stage for smarter investment strategies in 2026
- Why managing market volatility matters more than chasing high returns in retirement
- How the three bucket strategy balances income, safety, and growth bucket investing
- The role of tax efficient investing, including direct indexing strategy, tax loss harvesting, and capital gains planning
- How alternative investments can reduce volatility and strengthen a long-term retirement portfolio
Tweetable Quotes:
- “If your portfolio is designed correctly, you don’t have to sweat market corrections—you can still sleep at night and enjoy retirement.” — Radon Stancil
- “Peace of mind investing comes from managing risk and taxes, not swinging for home runs.” — Murs Tariq
From retirement planning basics and a practical retirement checklist to advanced strategies like direct indexing strategy and alternative investments, this episode ties together everything needed for effective planning retirement. Whether you’re years away or already retired, these insights help you build confidence, reduce stress, and move closer to secure your retirement.
Resources:
If you are in or nearing retirement and you want to gain clarity on what questions you should be asking, learn what the biggest retirement myths are, and identify what you can do to achieve peace of mind for your retirement, get started today by requesting our complimentary video course, Four Steps to Secure Your Retirement!
To access the course, simply visit POMWealth.net/podcast.
Here’s the full transcript:
Welcome, everyone, to 2026 for Secure Your Retirement Podcast.
It’s amazing that we’re sitting here in 2026. It kind of blows us away
every time we say another year, doesn’t it? And certainly, this has been a close
out now in 2025. And as we go into 2026, there’s a lot of things for us to chat
about. As you know, this is the first Monday of the month. And really what we’ve
decided to do here on the podcast is on the first Monday of the month is really
kind of talk about the portfolios, talk a little bit of
that came out of 2025, I think that’s a really good thing for us to do also
because it helps us when you’re living through something, you think, man, is this
ever going to work out? And this year, 2025 was a year to really teach us
volatility can be there, and things can look bad and then ends up pretty good.
I also want to let you know that we are going to talk a little bit about how our
portfolios design. They are really, it is designed to deal with
what’s coming yet. We didn’t know what was going to come in 2025. The portfolios
worked really well in 2025. They’ve worked really well now for many, many years. How
is it that it’s designed? We want to kind of go through that a little bit. So,
Murs, I’m just going to turn it over to you at this point. And if you can kind
of start this conversation out around kind of what happened in 2025 and maybe,
you know, helping us remember, I guess, and to build our confidence that things do
work out. Right, yeah. I mean, we walked into 2025, I think, with a lot of
nervousness. We had an administration change and then a lot of policy changes that
were up in the air. And then they came into fruition and then which caused a lot
of volatility. So, there was a lot of promises around tax change. And then we got
the one big-beautiful bill act that needs the tax law that we’re still kind of
learning and understanding. But there’s been some opportunities there to take advantage
of as far as the,
half of 2025 as we start to see some of the inflation pressures come down,
which is a good thing, but still not totally under control, but things are headed
in the right direction there. But obviously that also was a point of uncertainty and
volatility created around that. Interest rates being a big deal,
mortgage rates are starting to come down a little bit, but not in the same, not in
lockstep with interest rate cuts. So hopefully we’ll see some more of that in 2026.
And the job market still, you know, they kept saying pretty strong, pretty strong.
But here in the back half of the year, starting to see some numbers around
unemployment going up and you’re hearing more and more about layoffs. So, you know,
a big year of uncertainty, a big year of transition that we have experienced. And,
you know, we talk about all these big, high -level items, but the markets actually
did okay for everything that we’re talking about. The markets did okay. Let’s talk a
little bit about that. Yeah, I think that if you look back and you were just, and
I think it’s good for us to reflect from time to time, because if you do go back
and you look at the way the year kind of started out and kind of how things were
going for a little bit there, it was looking rocky. And the markets did have a
pullback. And there was some nervousness in the air around a couple different issues
that we don’t need to rehash all of that. But then we started to see things come
together and actually start to be positive. And then the year just kind of really
kept going. We had, you know, we’ve had adjustments and interest rates. We were
starting off the year, pretty good high interest rates. We’ve seen those interest
rates come down. It did not blow the markets up like a lot of people thought it
was going to. A lot of people thought that the markets will, as the interest rates
go down.
overall big picture, we’ve seen that kind of come under control. We had a lot of
folks that were worried about the markets, and so they wanted to make some
adjustments. In fact, we believe that as you are entering into retirement in
particular or you’re transitioning toward retirement in retirement for a number of
years, don’t try to invest where you think that you’re going to get the necessarily
biggest return. That’s sometimes a big mistake. I think what we learned a lot of
you put those returns out there and say, hey, if we can make a good rate of
return, we’d say this all the time, make a good rate of return and lower my risk,
a couple things are going to happen. I’m going to have a very good retirement. I’m
going to have, be able to sleep at night, and I’m going to be able to have the
returns that I need. So, I think if we kind of just really reflect on the fact
that what we lived through this year was, I think, a lot, but when we look back
at it, it’s now not that big of a deal. But I think what I’d like to do, MERS,
is kind of talk a little bit about maybe some of the things that you see coming
that we know that are going to be big topics for 2026 and maybe, you know, just
kind of thinking about maybe we can even do a playoff of 2025 of what happened.
But really kind of what are some of the things that you think that we’re going to
see and we need to be ready for mentally for 2026. Right. And I think what you
said earlier about not trying to go hit those home runs. So, I think a lot of
people fell into 2025 being the big AI year and let me go invest in AI and all
these big AI stocks and you can quickly get yourself into a place where you’re very
over-concentrated in that area. So, I think going into 2026, that’s going to be
something to pay attention to. Some tech stocks, some AI stocks, you hear this word
of a bubble every now and then and there’s trains of thought as far as, are we in
the bubble or is just a place that’s going to
we are having just a few key areas of the market driving the results or are we
starting to broaden out? We saw that in 2025. Outside of AI, we did see, you know,
the smaller companies, the mid -sized companies picking up some of the slack that
they had back in the few years ago. We also saw international and European stocks
doing quite well because of a lot of stuff that was happening inside of the U.S.
people were going to outside investments. So, seeing that broadening out is a good
thing that speaks to the idea of having really good diversification in your portfolio
being very important. Valuations, you’ve got a lot of companies that are worth
billions and trillions and trillions of dollars right now that makes people nervous.
So, understanding where that heads, I think, is going to be important in 2026. And
we have, we’re going to be walking into an election year, so government policy,
politics, that could always create issues and turmoil and volatility in the markets.
and the big one.
and people got very nervous around the impact of tariffs. Well, I think we’re going
to start seeing truly from a dollar figure what those impacts are going to be in
2026 and how that affects the general economy in the U.S. But I think those are
the big things to look at for 2026. So, you know, I was thinking too, just that I
want to kind of have you hit on this a little bit. You know, I think as we have
been designing the portfolios, we put a lot of thought into how they are put
together and we talk about all the time our
doing a lot of tax strategy around a lot of different areas. But I think one of
those is how we’ve designed, in particular, just to give you context, this is for
accounts that are not IRAs. Okay, IRAs, it doesn’t really affect us.
But I have a non -IRA account, a brokerage account, and I’m growing that money, and
I had a big, nice year like we did this year, that can create problems. And the
problem could be if I’ve got a, you know, if I, let’s say I had a 20 % gain this
year on my portfolio, now I’ve got all this gain. Well, now why do I deal with
that gain and not be hit so hard on the tax side? And so, we’ve been talking
about, I know I invest in what we’re about to describe. I know that many of us
are, you know, using these type portfolios. We have a lot of our clients in it.
But could you talk a little bit about the importance of in the investment strategy,
if it’s a non -IRA, why we need to think about tax strategy? Yeah. So non -IRA,
So, throughout the year, while some are leading the pack, there are
going to be some losers in there. Not all stocks in the S &P 500 go up at the
same time. And so, we can optimize and sell some of those losers while the winners
are winning and we keep things in balance. We keep we keep stocks from running away
from us on a growth pattern. And so, we’re able to keep those winners in check.
We’re able to stay keep our index in balance so that we’re never getting to a
place where we’ve got over concentration like your apples and your NVidias and Tesla
stocks and things like that. So long story short, it’s a really nice way to
optimize the taxation of this vehicle to where you’re building up some losses, you’re
managing capital gains. And in the perfect scenario, get some of those losses to
help out your tax return year over year. And what that generates is what we call
tax alpha. the big picture here is that it’s not about how much you make,
it’s about how much you keep. And a lot of times we lose a lot of those dollars
towards taxes if we’re not managing it properly. So, it’s a, it’s a very cool
strategy that we use. We’ve done a whole separate podcast on it that if this sounds
interesting, then you want to go back and look at that podcast as well. Yeah. And
I think another big thing to consider is in our three buckets, we’ve got the growth
bucket. There’s a lot that we have in the growth bucket that has worked really
well. We always talk about the fact that it’s got that. We’ve got the, the, uh,
the
invested looking out into where we think things are headed. And then we actually
have what we call alternative investments or private investments. Very,
very important to have those in the portfolio, we believe. And the reason why is
because we reduce the volatility in the portfolio. We get to be a part of things
that’s going to give us really good rates of return. And more easy easier today
than ever to get involved in private investments than it ever has been and the
rules around it had lightened a little bit too which opens it up for quite a few
individuals that couldn’t in the past get access to them, so we have just really
enjoyed being able to have that as a part of the portfolio when you put all those
things together you can have good growth lower volatility and that’s really
what our goal is. Now, we also need to just take a couple of minutes and talk
about that other bucket, which is our income safety bucket. And this one absolutely
key if I’m close to or in retirement. This one is the one that takes all the
pressure off and really kind of builds out this idea that I can live through some
volatility and it’s not going to affect my retirement. Why? Well, if I’ve got things
set up in that income bucket that is going to give me the income I need,
or it’s going to give me stable growth with no downside based like on what the
stock market is doing, I can rest. I don’t have to think about or worry about if
my growth buckets going through a little bit of volatility. Take the first of 2025.
If I’ve got my income safety bucket there, that volatility that’s happening over on
the stock market side, not a big deal. Now, what happens after you have a really
good year on the growth bucket? You rebalance and you take some of that growth
money that’s been over there that grew really nice, and you replenish your income
safety bucket where we’re taking income from. We did a lot of that in 2020 coming
out of 2024, probably going to have to do a little bit more out of it this year
the growth that has been, that has occurred, that we’re constantly looking at that
and saying, how do we position it? But I don’t know, Murs, do you have anything
you want to talk about on that or just kind of, I don’t know, add something to on
that? Yeah, I think when you, when you talk about the safety and the growth bucket,
I think the two major key things come out of having both of these in place.
One is, is that it puts us in a place of being able to really manage risk and
have predictable outcomes from a downside perspective. You know, a lot of the
families that we work with, they say, hey, you know, I survived 2008 and that 2008
was a significant decline, 30 to 50 percent loss depending on how you invested
during that period. And I survived that. I don’t want to live through that again,
especially as I get to a place where I need my money. So, a lot of our clients
don’t want to be down any more than 5 to 15 percent in a given year. And so
having this combination of principal protection on one side of our investment strategy
and then,
allows for volatility to happen and long -term growth to happen on the other side
because now if we are down on the other side, we’re not as worried about waiting
for it to come back because our income flow is coming from a completely different
side of the portfolio. So, it manages risk really well and it reduces stress,
which is a big thing when it comes to retirement planning for people. Where am I
going to get my money from? Is the market down? Do I need to swing for the
fences. It takes all those conversations out of your head and lets you really enjoy
your retirement. So, we know it works well for the families that we work with.
And if it’s something that you’d like to talk about, we’re happy to do that too.
So, let’s sum it up this way. How do we feel about 2026? I’m excited. I think it’s
going to, regardless of what this market brings towards us, we’ve got systems in
place to help our clients. If you are listening to this and you’re not a client,
you want to talk about those systems; it just really does put you in a position
where I don’t have to sit here and think, oh, man, this is going to be a
fantastic year from a stock market perspective. No, we’ve got everything in place
that no matter what this market brings us, we at least have, we have places to go and things to do to make sure that we’re going to navigate the year.