July 17, 2023 Weekly Update

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We do love it when someone refers a family member or friend to us.  Sometimes the question is, “How can we introduce them to you?”   Well, there are multiple ways but a very easy way is to simply forward them a link to this webpage.

Here are this week’s items:

Portfolio Update:  Murs and I have recorded our portfolio update for July 17, 2023

CLICK HERE TO WATCH THE UPDATE

This Week’s Podcast – Annuities or CDs – What You Should Consider

In this Episode of the Secure Your Retirement Podcast, Radon and Murs discuss the similarities and differences between annuities and CDs and the best one for retirement planning. In as much as CDs and fixed index annuities are similar, CDs are best suited for short-term investments, while annuities are best suited for long-term investments.

CLICK HERE TO LISTEN TO THE PODCAST

 

CLICK HERE TO WATCH ON YOUTUBE

This Week’s Blog – Annuities or CDs – What You Should Consider

“Annuities or CDs?” is a question many folks are asking because interest rates on CDs are the best they’ve been in a long time. In this article, we’ll cover both annuities and CDs to help you better understand which option is right for your current retirement planning strategy.

CLICK HERE TO READ THE BLOG

Annuities or CDs – What You Should Consider

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“Annuities or CDs?” is a question many folks are asking because interest rates on CDs are the best they’ve been in a long time. In this article, we’ll cover both annuities and CDs to help you better understand which option is right for your current retirement planning strategy.

Wait. CDs? They’re No Good, Right?

We haven’t talked about CDs for a long time. Interest rates weren’t that attractive in past years. Most people were lucky to receive 1% to 2% returns. Clients who want to reduce market risk can, at the time of posting this article, go out and get a 1-year CD at 5.5%, or a 5-year CD at 4.5%.

With returns like this, we have a lot of people questioning why they would put their money into an annuity – especially a fixed annuity.

First, we need to consider putting the funds into the right place for your retirement focused plan. You have a lot of options when investing, including the following three main categories:

1. Growth

You can put your money into growth assets, such as equities, because they have the highest return potential. These assets would include things like ETFs, stocks, and mutual funds.

These funds need to remain in the market for some time and have the risk of volatility. Markets go up and down all the time, and your funds will follow this trend, too. You do have the potential to lose money with equities, but we do have controls in place to limit these potential losses.

2. Safety

If you want to have a good rate of return without the risk of losing money on it, you’re now in the following territory:

  • CDs
  • Treasury Bonds
  • Fixed Annuities

These investment vehicles protect you from market losses, so you don’t need to worry about that, but you may earn less with a fixed option.

3. Cash

Easy money access. If you need liquidity, this is the avenue that you’ll want to choose because it gives you access to the money without penalties when you need it. However, you will not receive a high rate of return.

 Keeping this in mind, we’re going to expand on the second category, “safety”, because that’s where the discussion of CDs vs. annuities really exists.

Interest Rate Risks of CDs and Annuities

CDs and annuities are the “hot topic” right now. Interest rates have gone up due to inflationary measures and banks are now able to offer better rates on CDs than they have in a long time. The Fed’s goal is to tame inflation, and when it does go down, interest rates will also come down.

If you buy a CD today at 5% and allow it to reach maturity, you can choose to:

  • Take the money and put it back in a CD
  • Take the money out and put it into other investments

CD renewals will allow you to buy the CD again at current market rates. It’s very likely that rates will come down and you may have a CD rate of 3.5% or 4% at renewal – or lower. Two years from now, CDs may be 2% or 1.5%.

These lower interest rates are your “reinvestment risk”.

We like the idea of putting a portion of our client’s money into the six-month or one-year CDs, if they know they’ll use these funds in the next year and will need to access them. In the meantime, they will receive a nice return on their investment.

Fixed Indexed Annuities and Their Potential 

Fixed Indexed Annuities (FIAs) are driven by interest rates, so just like CDs, the interest rates have gone up in the last year. The key difference between a CD and an FIA is the length of the contract you receive. For an annuity, the term is longer, such as 10 years.

You may receive a 4.5% – 5.5% interest rate on CDs for 1 year or more. Over the past 10 years, FIAs with no riders or fees have had returns of 4% – 6%. Compared to CDs, this range for annuities was much higher.

In today’s market, because of higher interest rates you can receive an FIA that averages 5% to 10% over a 10-year period. However, you may have some years with 0% returns.

How does that work?

Annuities are linked to an index. For example, S&P 500:

  • S&P 500 rises 10%, so you earn 10%
  • Next year, the S&P 500 drops over 10%. Since you are protected from market losses in an FIA, you do not lose any money in that year.

Fortunately, FIAs often have many index options that allow you to diversify your potential and gain more opportunity.

We believe FIAs are really a bond alternative, as they are both conservative and protect against risk. Bonds in 2020 – 2022 hurt portfolios more than they helped.

Clients often look to bonds to make 3% – 5%, but FIAs offer:

  • Greater return opportunities
  • Principal Protection (protection from market losses)

Of course, if you have money that you want to park for a year and then use the money, put it into a CD and make your 5% return. However, for long-term investments and the potential to make more money, it often makes better sense to go with an annuity.

Annuities are longer-term, but the reward is more consistent. CDs are shorter-term and, while they have their place today, will see rates go back down as inflation falls and interest rates follow.

Do you want to read more about how to secure your retirement?Click here to view our latest books covering this topic, or schedule a call with us.

Bonds Versus Bond Alternatives

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If you’ve been learning or actively engaged in trying to secure your retirement, you know that investments are a wise choice. And a portfolio of 60/40 is what most people learn about. Today, we’re going to be discussing the 60/40 portfolio, what it means and a lot about bonds and bond alternatives.

What is a 60/40 Portfolio?

The 60/40 portfolio is one that many people hear about when starting their retirement planning. What does it mean?

  • 60% of your investments in equities
  • 40% of your investments in bonds

Bonds carry very little risk in traditional markets. You can take on the risk of stocks and still have 40% of your money in bonds that offer low returns.

And from the outside, the breakdown is good for investors because bonds have low risks.

However, due to the current economic state we’re in, bonds are riskier. Bond alternatives are available, which can help you further diversify your portfolio and possibly eliminate your traditional bond holdings.

Example of a 60/40 Portfolio

A 60/40 portfolio is easy to visualize if you have $1 million in investments.

  • $600,000 in stocks, mutual funds, etc.
  • $400,000 in bonds

If you have a portfolio like this, market volatility can’t wipe out your entire portfolio. However, we’re estimating that for the next decade, bonds will be volatile due to the low interest rates we’ve had since 2008.

Bonds and the Index to Examine

When you talk about the stock market, you think of the S&P 500, Dow Jones or NASDAQ as a gauge for how well the market has done or is doing. With bonds, you can’t look at the same indexes. Instead, you’ll want to judge the performance of bonds based on:

  • Aggregate bond index (AGG)

The AGG index has a very diverse building of bonds, and when you take snapshots of the index year-to-date (January – April 2022), it’s down 6% to 6.5%. If you’ve been told that bonds are a safe bet and then you see that the AGG index is down dramatically in the first four months of the year, it’s evident that there’s an issue going on.

Normally, bonds perform better when the market is performing poorly, but in this case, the markets are down just 3% this year.

For 10 years, interest rates were low, and now with the Fed raising interest rates to control inflation, the bond market is going to struggle for quite a while.

What are Bond Alternatives in 2022?

Bonds are having issues, and if you have them as a strategy to secure your retirement, it’s time to consider bond alternatives. A bond alternative needs to do a few things:

  • Offer a safe investment versus the market
  • Provide you with an income

Over the past few years, annuities have shown their strength and ability to offer a safe alternative to bonds.

Why?

First, a fixed annuity cannot lose in a year. In the worst case, you earn nothing in the year. You can never lose money, so from the risk perspective, annuities offer a low-risk alternative to stocks.

In our own experience, we’ve seen that annuities earn in the 3% to 6% range each year over the last decade.

While an annuity may not earn you 3% to 6% every year, it also won’t lose money. You can depend on the income of the annuity since it will never lose money.

Structuring an Annuity into Your Portfolio

You can choose a 60/40 portfolio if you like, but you also must understand that every family is different. There’s no right or wrong structure for your portfolio, and that’s the beauty of annuities.

We always start off with a retirement financial plan to:

  • View where you are today
  • View where you’ll be when it’s time for retirement

A retirement financial plan considers everything:

  • All income sources
  • Expenses

Annuities provide a safe, reliable, and non-reliable source of income. Plus, if you’re like most investors, you still have a growth bucket with your money tied up in the markets. If you’re not touching the investments, they’ll grow untouched for a long time while you rely on annuities to generate income.

Bonds aren’t a horrible choice for investors.

You can and should buy bonds when they’re stable, but with the Fed stating that they’re going to be raising rates multiple times in 2022 and 2023, it’s time to look at your portfolio as a bond holder.

The rising rates will have a negative impact on bonds.

In the meantime, we recommend a fixed annuity as a bond alternative because they offer a decent rate of return, cannot lose money, and provide a source of income that you can tap into at any time.

If you liked this article and would love to hear more from us, please sign up for our podcast.

And if you want to learn more about bond alternatives and fixed annuities or simply want us to run a retirement financial plan for you, schedule an introduction call today.